NEWSLETTER.
A Publication of the Zion Faith Bible-Believing Church Kpeyegyi Abuja Nigeria. {Vol. 14. NO 587. 19th January 2024} “…ONLY The Truth, Will Set You Free! (John.8:32). PRAY & FAST EVERY WEDNESDAY TO STOP BLOODSHED IN NIGERIA!
CURRENCY SWAP WITH CHINA MAY
SOLVE TRADE IMBALANCE NOT INDEBTEDNESS!
Nigeria's huge indebtedness to China coupled with loop sided trade imbalance in favor of the latter portend grave danger to Nigeria's sovereignty now and in the future as We have consistently elucidated!
Neo-colonialist tendency is an addiction to foremost developed nations and the Peoples Republic of China is not an exception China is a Shylock when it comes to business. China is not a Father Christmas and will go to any length to recover loans to foreign country as at when due.
External loans terms and agreements are always followed strictly to the letter by this very industrious nation that is determined to out-shine the United States of America in all areas of business activities: industry manufacturing, technology, rocket science etc. China has no penchant for defaulters when it comes to recovery of loans to which strict adherence to terms and agreements must be religiously adhered.
In some countries where it faced challenges in loans recovery, strategic infrastructures which were products of the acquired funds would be taken over to recover moneys with interest. The currency swap initiated in May 2018 between the Central Bank of Nigeria and the People's Bank of China (PBOC) was valued at renminbi RMB 16 billion which is about $2.5 billion dollars. It was designed to provide the Chinese and Nigeria currency directly to industrialist and other businesses from both countries.
The deal which commenced in 2018 and renewable every three years was renewed in 2021 to terminate in 2024 to boost bilateral trade as it cuts reliance on dollar transactions between the two nations.
According to Bloomberg, China was Nigeria’s biggest trade partner in 2023, ahead of the United States and the facility was to strengthen financial cooperation and expand the advantageous use of the Nigerian and Chinese currencies. With this deal the direct exchange of the Chinese Yuan and Nigerian naira will be seamless, providing an alternative to the reliance on the US dollar and reducing transaction costs in trade between the two nations.
WHAT IMPACT WOULD THE DEAL HAVE ON NIGERIA'S MIS-MANAGED ECONOMY?
China and Nigeria have a large trade relationship, with China exporting more to Nigeria than Nigeria exports to China. China is Nigeria's largest export market in sub-Saharan Africa, and Nigeria is one of China's largest export markets globally. Main products traded between China and Nigeria are as follows:
China to Nigeria: Manufactured goods like non-knit women's suits, rubber footwear, broadcasting equipment, electronics, phones, laptops, and kitchen utensils
Nigeria to China: Primary products like petroleum gas, crude petroleum, and lead ore which implies trade imbalance because China exports more to Nigeria than Nigeria exports to China! Nigeria's economy is becoming dependent on cheap foreign imports, which has led to a decline in Nigerian industry. In previous publications we had emphasized that the relationship between China and Nigeria had raised concerns about potential economic and political influence from China in the region.
CHINA'S FOOT PRINTS ARE ALL OVER AFRICA!
China as the second largest global economy has in the last two decades intensified efforts to dominate Africa from Cape to Cairo and from Mauritania to Ethiopia through capital investments in their strategic infrastructural projects like railways, hydro dams, sea ports, air ports etc!
Apart from construction of rail tracks, China has invested in Nigeria’s communications satellite projects and
has provided technical aid and training to Nigeria in the agricultural sector.
Previous Loans obtained from China according to the Debt Management Office (DMO), were disbursed as follows:
"The USD3.121 billion Loans are project-tied Loans. The projects, (eleven – 11 in number as at March 31, 2020), include: Nigerian Railway Modernization Project (Idu-Kaduna section), Abuja Light Rail Project, Nigerian Four Airport Terminals Expansion Project (Abuja, Kano, Lagos and Port Harcourt), Nigerian Railway Modernization Project (Lagos-Ibadan section) and Rehabilitation and Upgrading of Abuja – Keffi- Makurdi Road Project. See a Full List of the Projects at www.dmo.gov.ng.
"The impact of these Loans is not only evident but visible. For instance, the Idu – Kaduna Rail Line has become a major source of transportation between Abuja and Kaduna. Also, the new International Airport in Abuja, has improved air transportation for the populace, while the Lagos – Ibadan rail line when completed, will ease traffic on the busy Lagos -Ibadan Expressway. "The projects also have the added benefits of job creation, not only by themselves but through direct and indirect service providers, a number of which are Small and Medium Enterprises. It is widely accepted that investment in infrastructure is one of the most effective tools for countries to achieve economic growth and development. Using Loans from China to finance infrastructure is thus in alignment with this position.
What Is the Process by which the Loans were Obtained?
"The principal process and requirements for borrowing by the Government are expressly stated in the Debt Management Office Establishment (ETC) Act, 2003 (DMO Act) and the Fiscal Responsibility Act, 2007. Section 21 (1) of the DMO Act, “No External loan shall be approved or obtained by the Minister unless its terms and conditions shall have been laid before the National Assembly and approved by its resolution” and Section 41 (1a) of the FRA, “Government at all tiers shall only borrow for capital expenditure and human development, provided that, such borrowing shall be on concessional terms with low interest rate and with a reasonable long amortization period subject to the approval of the appropriate legislative body where necessary”, are instructive in this regard"
MAJOR BILATERAL TRADING PARTNERS.
China and Nigeria have been major bilateral trading partners in recent times. While primary products dominate Nigeria's trade with China, China's in 2022, exported $21.4B to Nigeria. The main products that China exported to Nigeria were Non-Knit Women's Suits ($792M), Rubber Foot wears etc.
With just a meager nine percent overall fertile land, China's formidability exemplified in her agricultural and food policies has afforded her the capacity to feed her population and to export. But Nigeria with vast arable lands had woefully failed to invest heavily in AGRICULTURE!
As at the last quarter of 2024, the benefits of Nigeria's connection with China had finally become very visible in Lagos, Onitsha, Aba, Kano, and nearly any Nigerian market, one may find Chinese Markets, Restaurants, Schools,etc. Over the past five years the exports of China to Nigeria have increased at an annualized rate of 11.9%, from $12.2B in 2017 to $21.4B in 2022. In 2022, China did not export any services to Nigeria. Nigeria-China Trade: In 2022, Nigeria exported $1.52B to China.
In the month of March 2024, Nigeria owed China $5.05 billion in bilateral debt and Nigeria's external debt reached $42.9 billion in June 2024.
TO BREACH THE TRADE IMBALANCE BETWEEN THE TWO COUNTRIES CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURES SHOULD TAKE THE FRONT BURNER AND NIGERIA MUST JOIN BRICS!
Special credits must be given to human rights lawyer and activist Chief Femi Falana (SAN). who took up the challenge following several delays of implementing the swap deal and insisted that Nigeria should take advantage of also joining BRICS comprising of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa who had all agreed to trade with their Nations currencies for greater gains and to minimize extravagant cost of goods and services to the economic advantage of their citizens. The swap was also designed to improve the spread, convenience and volume of transactions between the two countries and to their advantages. But as usual the meddlesome global interlopers the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and the World Bank (WB), which had colluded with the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), tried to frustrate the currency swap! We will continue to monitor the recent development of this swap deal between Nigeria and china closely but we know that except this government of President B ola Tinubu yields to the wishes of the generality of the Citizens to begin the implementation of a new CONSTITUTION FOR A ONE HOUSE UNILATERAL PARLIAMENTARY CONSTITUTION FOR NIGERIA that will eliminate wastages and opulence in government, the positive results of the swap will be infinitesimal!
Tinubu has only one choice - to obey the demand of the Citizens of Nigeria who have the SOVEREIGNTY!
[EXPECT A PRIME MINISTER IN NIGERIA NOW!]
Please look forward to more divine revelation in the next edition of Zion B-BC Newsletter as you share this with friends and remain blessed in the Lord. [For weekly access, to this newsletter, log on to: facebook.com/zionfaithbible.believingchurch or http://www.zfbbc1.blogspot.com,
Please look forward to divine revelations in The Sure Word Gospel Tracts, Our divinely inspired books on the Amazon KINDLE Store Namely: The Unbroken Chain of Grace, Nigeria’s Pot Pourri (Volumes 1-5), Godly Politicking For World Peace, and The Wedding Mascot Died
If you have not accepted the Lord Jesus Christ as your personal Lord and Saviour, don’t miss this great opportunity as you pray this prayer: Lord Jesus; I confess that I am a sinner who needs to be saved through the grace of the New Testament in your Blood, shed on the Cross at Calvary; I renounce every sin in my life and accept you as my Lord and personal Saviour. Please forgive me and write my name in the Book of Life. Amen. If you prayed this prayer, you have been admitted into the family of sons and daughters of God, who are born-again. Congratulations!
I am yours sincerely, THE WATCHMAN Dr. David B.A. Olufon, Resident Pastor and Editor. 08130669886, 08058436756. g-mail-dvdolufon@gmail.